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I suppose I should expand on "Trump Indictment: Not going to happen. 10% odds."

As I see it, there are three categories of indictments possible.

* Regarding various tax evasion issues: his companies have already been indicted, and they won't indict him personally in that matter.

* Regarding the events of 6 JAN 2021: there is no political appetite to indict him for that, and no real capacity for a rogue prosecutor to do so.

* Regarding "something else": probably not, but I don't know for sure. That's what the 10% is for. Epstein sex island, employing illegal immigrants, treason, larceny, violations of the Jones act? Who can possibly predict the future!

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