I suppose I should expand on "Trump Indictment: Not going to happen. 10% odds."
As I see it, there are three categories of indictments possible.
* Regarding various tax evasion issues: his companies have already been indicted, and they won't indict him personally in that matter.
* Regarding the events of 6 JAN 2021: there is no political appetite to indict him for that, and no real capacity for a rogue prosecutor to do so.
* Regarding "something else": probably not, but I don't know for sure. That's what the 10% is for. Epstein sex island, employing illegal immigrants, treason, larceny, violations of the Jones act? Who can possibly predict the future!
I suppose I should expand on "Trump Indictment: Not going to happen. 10% odds."
As I see it, there are three categories of indictments possible.
* Regarding various tax evasion issues: his companies have already been indicted, and they won't indict him personally in that matter.
* Regarding the events of 6 JAN 2021: there is no political appetite to indict him for that, and no real capacity for a rogue prosecutor to do so.
* Regarding "something else": probably not, but I don't know for sure. That's what the 10% is for. Epstein sex island, employing illegal immigrants, treason, larceny, violations of the Jones act? Who can possibly predict the future!